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Prediction of Strong Aftershocks of Turkey Earthquake M=7.0 (2020.10.30 11:51:27 UTC)

Updated: Sep 18

Predicted by Prof. Jicheng Gu, Released by GUIEP




After the occurrence of about 20 hours of Turkey earthquake (M=7.0, 2020-10-30, 11:51:27 UTC), we studied this sequence and made a prediction of:

  1. This is a Mainshock-Aftershock type. It means no similar to or larger than M=7 shock within this area in the close future.

  2. The next strong aftershock with M4.5+ ~M5.0 will be 29.255 hours from the main-shock. The real event with M=4.8 occurred at time of 29.838 hours, 35minutes time error. Shown as follows: (The predicted magnitude of strong aftershocks is M=4.5+ to M5.0)



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